Ballinamallard United 4-0 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.54/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.45
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 0-2 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
05.08.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-2 HT 2-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
10.01.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
23.09.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
04.03.2020 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballinamallard United
4-0
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United cruised past Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Ballinamallard United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ballinamallard United had 59% of the ball to Harland & Wolff Welders's 41%, shots finished 8-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.00 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ballinamallard United 4-0 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 36%, draw 28%, Harland & Wolff Welders 36%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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