20/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
America U23 vs Queretaro U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
20%
Draw
10%
18%
Away Win
5%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America U23 v Queretaro U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
America U23
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Queretaro U23
EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
543 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
215 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
America U23 vs Queretaro U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
America U23 squeezed past Queretaro U23 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had America U23 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of America U23 vs Queretaro U23?
America U23 1-0 Queretaro U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America U23 vs Queretaro U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a America U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split America U23 62%, draw 20%, Queretaro U23 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America U23), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (America U23)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
20 Jan 2024