Atletico Aragon 1-3 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
38%
Draw
27%
+10.3pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aragon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Atletico Aragon vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados got the better of Atletico Aragon 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Aragon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atletico Aragon vs Venados?

Atletico Aragon 1-3 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aragon vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aragon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aragon 44%, draw 38%, Venados 18%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aragon) ✗ Under 2.5
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