Casa Pia vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Casa Pia v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Casa Pia 1-3 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Farense took care of Casa Pia 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 65% to 35% in Casa Pia's favour, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 0.95 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Casa Pia against 0.60 for Farense.
Casa Pia vs Farense Result & Final Score
Casa Pia 1 - 3 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Casa Pia vs Farense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 44%, draw 30%, Farense 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.