Casa Pia vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Farense
POR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR2
3-1
HT 2-0
Farense
POK
0-2
HT 0-1
Farense
POR2
Casa Pia 1-3 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Farense beat Casa Pia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Casa Pia had 65% of the ball to Farense's 35%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 0.95 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Casa Pia and 0.60 for Farense.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Farense?
Casa Pia 1-3 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 47%, draw 27%, Farense 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.