Estoril 1-2 Arouca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Portugal - Premier League, 20 Jan 2024

Estoril Elo 1647 · World #527 (clubs) LLL→
1 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Arouca Elo 1704 · World #319 (clubs) LLL→
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Estoril vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.02
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.91
2-3
47%
1.82
4-5
25%
3.13
6+
6%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.39
1/2
2%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
17%
4.95
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.78
2/X
5%
12.6
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Estoril v Arouca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Estoril The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Arouca The Market 38%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Estoril vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arouca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Arouca Arouca 4-3 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
15.05.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
07.01.2023 Arouca Arouca 2-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
27.01.2022 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 1-0 Arouca Arouca POR
07.08.2021 Arouca Arouca 0-2 HT 0-1 Estoril Estoril POR
02.02.2021 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR2

Estoril 1-2 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
1 - 2
AWAY Arouca
2.40 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
410 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Estoril vs Arouca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arouca shaded a tight game against Estoril 2-1 away from home.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 28% / 33%); Arouca picked one for it. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Estoril's favour, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.40 to 1.53 — by the quality of chances, Estoril deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Estoril against 1.50 for Arouca.

Estoril vs Arouca Result & Final Score

Estoril 1 - 2 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estoril vs Arouca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estoril 40%, draw 28%, Arouca 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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