Chelsea 3-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.84
2-3 Goals
33%
2.05
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
7%
12.9
X/X
9%
7.61
2/1
9%
18.35
2/2
7%
9.24
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
2.07/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.54
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.4 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.71 xG 1.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
484 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-6 HT 2-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
04.02.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-4 HT 1-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.10.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
07.05.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
3-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
3.20 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
504 Passes 261
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
52 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea beat Wolverhampton 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chelsea had 63% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 37%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.20 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelsea and 1.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Wolverhampton?

Chelsea 3-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 57%, draw 23%, Wolverhampton 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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