Wolverhampton 2-6 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
15%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
13%
7.98
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
6%
5.52
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.46
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.37/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.14
+17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
18.8 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chelsea
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.58
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
275 Passes 521
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-4 HT 1-2 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
24.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.10.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
07.05.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
19.12.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-6
AWAY Chelsea
1.96 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea ran out comfortable winners over Wolverhampton 6-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 40% of the ball to Chelsea's 60%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.96 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.33 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Chelsea?

Wolverhampton 2-6 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 32%, draw 20%, Chelsea 49%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
25 Aug 2024
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