Liverpool 2-0 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Aug 2024

Liverpool
2-0 HT 1-0
Brentford
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.18
2-3 Goals
35%
2.21
4-5 Goals
30%
2.44
6+ Goals
19%
4.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
24%
3.64
X/2
6%
22.7
X/X
9%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.05
2/2
7%
15.6
2/X
6%
23.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
2.51/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.85
+9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
505 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.5 Crosses 13.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Liverpool vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brentford
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.22 xG 1.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
471 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.11.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
06.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
02.01.2023 Brentford Brentford 3-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
16.01.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
25.09.2021 Brentford Brentford 3-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Liverpool 2-0 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-0
AWAY Brentford
2.65 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
550 Passes 298
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool saw off Brentford 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool had 62% of the ball to Brentford's 38%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.65 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Liverpool and 1.17 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool 2-0 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 20%, Brentford 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
25 Aug 2024
16:00 Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Analysis →
16:00 Wolverhampton vs Chelsea Analysis →