Chelsea 2-4 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

Chelsea
2-4 HT 1-2
Wolverhampton
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.9
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
16%
3.84
X/2
7%
11.3
X/X
10%
6.23
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
7%
8.25
2/X
8%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.90/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
530 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.0 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chelsea vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.96
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
565 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
08.10.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 3-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
07.05.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
19.12.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
27.01.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Chelsea 2-4 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-4
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.74 xG 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 1
565 Passes 282
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton got the better of Chelsea 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chelsea had 64% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 36%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.74 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelsea and 0.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Wolverhampton?

Chelsea 2-4 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 53%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton 20%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
4 Feb 2024
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