Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal
İNP
2-2
HT 1-2
Arsenal
İNP
3-2
HT 2-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-2
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNLK
Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal beat Liverpool 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Arsenal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Arsenal had 43% of the ball to Liverpool's 57%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 3.50 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal and 1.83 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 39%, draw 30%, Liverpool 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.