Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal
İNP
2-2
HT 1-2
Arsenal
İNP
3-2
HT 2-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-2
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNLK
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal
İNLK
Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool saw off Arsenal 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Arsenal had 54% of the ball to Liverpool's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.76 to 0.64 — on chances, Arsenal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal and 1.50 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool in the England - FA Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 42%, draw 26%, Liverpool 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.