Manchester United 3-0 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
17%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
14%
3.9
X/2
8%
11.4
X/X
8%
6.19
2/1
8%
20.65
2/2
12%
8.23
2/X
6%
16.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.79
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.8 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
484 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
07.05.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
01.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
30.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
22.01.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
22.09.2021 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
3-0
AWAY West Ham United
0.75 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
452 Passes 421
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United ran out comfortable winners over West Ham United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Manchester United had 51% of the ball to West Ham United's 49%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 0.75 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured West Ham United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manchester United and 0.83 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs West Ham United?

Manchester United 3-0 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 48%, draw 23%, West Ham United 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
4 Feb 2024
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