Villarreal vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Villarreal 4-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal ran out comfortable winners over Mallorca 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Villarreal had 44% of the ball to Mallorca's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.44 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal and 1.33 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Mallorca?
Villarreal 4-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 43%, draw 25%, Mallorca 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.