Achuapa 2-0 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Jan 2025

Achuapa
2-0 HT 2-0
Xelaju MC
📅20/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2024/2025

Achuapa vs Xelaju MC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Xelaju MC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
0.98/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.04
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.6

Achuapa vs Xelaju MC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
12.08.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
11.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.12.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
01.12.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-1 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
13.11.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT

Achuapa 2-0 Xelaju MC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
2-0
AWAY Xelaju MC
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa saw off Xelaju MC 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Achuapa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Achuapa had 58% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 42%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Achuapa and 2.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Xelaju MC?

Achuapa 2-0 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 33%, draw 29%, Xelaju MC 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xelaju MC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →