Roda 0-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Jan 2025

Roda
0-1 HT 0-0
Cambuur
📅20/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Roda vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
47%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.61
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
4%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.73
X/2
17%
5.99
X/X
8%
4.71
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.86
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.4
Value flag · 2/X at 12.4 — our 13% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roda v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.06
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.3 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Roda vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
03.05.2024 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
19.11.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
28.03.2021 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
23.10.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 3-0 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
21.02.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2

Roda 0-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
0-1
AWAY Cambuur
1.31 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 303
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roda vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur edged past Roda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cambuur found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Roda had 50% of the ball to Cambuur's 50%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.31 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roda and 1.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Roda vs Cambuur?

Roda 0-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roda 35%, draw 26%, Cambuur 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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