Ajax II vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax II v PSV II — Team-Based Signals
Ajax II vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Ajax II
HOL2
5-4
HT 3-2
PSV II
HOL2
2-2
HT 0-1
Ajax II
HOL2
2-0
HT 0-0
PSV II
HOL2
Ajax II 4-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax II cruised past PSV II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajax II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajax II had 43% of the ball to PSV II's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ajax II and 1.67 for PSV II.
What was the final score of Ajax II vs PSV II?
Ajax II 4-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax II vs PSV II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 44%, draw 25%, PSV II 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.