Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
CONLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
4-1
HT 1-1
Queretaro
MEK
Queretaro 3-2 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro squeezed past Pumas UNAM 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Queretaro had 34% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 66%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.62 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pumas UNAM.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Queretaro and 1.83 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM?
Queretaro 3-2 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 22%, draw 32%, Pumas UNAM 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.