Pumas UNAM 2-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.94/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.83
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.6 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queretaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.73 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
05.10.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
04.08.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro CONLK
03.04.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
08.09.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
15.01.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-3 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
2-0
AWAY Queretaro
1.85 xG 0.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
563 Passes 149
89% Pass Accuracy 61%
33 Box Touches 3
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM beat Queretaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 72% of the ball to Queretaro's 28%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 1.85 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro?

Pumas UNAM 2-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 58%, draw 22%, Queretaro 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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