Leon 0-0 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Nov 2024

Leon
0-0 HT 0-0
Mazatlan
📅06/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Leon vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
8.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 27% vs market 18.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leon v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.60/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.58
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.5 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Leon vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-2 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
19.08.2023 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
25.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
14.08.2022 Leon Leon 0-3 HT 0-3 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
21.03.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-2 Leon Leon MEK
15.08.2021 Leon Leon 3-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Leon 0-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
0-0
AWAY Mazatlan
2.22 xG 1.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leon vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leon and Mazatlan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leon at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leon had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.22 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leon and 1.33 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Leon vs Mazatlan?

Leon 0-0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leon 47%, draw 25%, Mazatlan 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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