Mazatlan 2-2 Leon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 31 Jan 2024

Mazatlan LLLL→
2 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Leon LW→
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Mazatlan vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.42
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.44
6+
6%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.04
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.05
X/2
15%
5.17
X/X
16%
4.87
2/1
2%
29.0
2/2
25%
3.24
2/X
5%
12.8
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Mazatlan v Leon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mazatlan The Market 34%
Signal
AWAY Leon The Market 48%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.83
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mazatlan vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
235 Passes 380
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 0-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
25.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
14.08.2022 Leon Leon 0-3 HT 0-3 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
21.03.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-2 HT 0-2 Leon Leon MEK
15.08.2021 Leon Leon 3-0 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
24.04.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 4-3 HT 1-2 Leon Leon MEK

Mazatlan 2-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2 - 2
AWAY Leon
0.55 xG 1.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Mazatlan vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mazatlan and Leon finished all square at 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Mazatlan had 53% of the ball to Leon's 47%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.55 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mazatlan and 2.00 for Leon.

Mazatlan vs Leon Result & Final Score

Mazatlan 2 - 2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mazatlan vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 29%, draw 27%, Leon 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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