Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cruz Azul v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Tijuana 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Cruz Azul had 61% of the ball to Tijuana's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.83 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Tijuana.
Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Result & Final Score
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 64%, draw 21%, Tijuana 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.