Cruz Azul 1-0 Tijuana — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
64%
1.54
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
15%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.98
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.79
2-3
47%
1.82
4-5
25%
3.2
6+
6%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
2.31
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
6%
8.65
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1
3%
22.6
2/2
8%
6.39
2/X
4%
14.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cruz Azul The Market 65%
Signal
AWAY Tijuana The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.11
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
09.01.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
18.08.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.01.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.10.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
02.05.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1 - 0
AWAY Tijuana
1.83 xG 0.58
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
396 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cruz Azul vs Tijuana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Tijuana 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Cruz Azul had 61% of the ball to Tijuana's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.83 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.00 for Tijuana.

Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Result & Final Score

Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 64%, draw 21%, Tijuana 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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