Santos Laguna 3-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
7%
8.65
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
10%
5.9
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.81/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.47
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.1 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puebla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 2-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
27.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
09.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.03.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
20.09.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
24.05.2021 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
3-0
AWAY Puebla
2.78 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
295 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna swept aside Puebla 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santos Laguna as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 41% of the ball to Puebla's 59%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.78 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.50 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Puebla?

Santos Laguna 3-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 52%, draw 25%, Puebla 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos Laguna), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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