Boavista vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boavista v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Boavista vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia nicked a narrow win over Boavista 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casa Pia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boavista had 36% of the ball to Casa Pia's 64%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.16 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casa Pia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Boavista and 0.83 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Boavista vs Casa Pia?
Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boavista vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boavista 27%, draw 29%, Casa Pia 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casa Pia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.