Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.91
1/2
12%
30.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
9%
6.35
X/2
10%
4.89
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.29
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.11
-9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.1 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
15.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
28.10.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-2 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
20.03.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
24.10.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
31.01.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.96 xG 0.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
243 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Gençlerbirliği made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 41% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 59%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.96 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 34%, draw 33%, Kocaelispor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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