Sukhothai 3-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
39%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over Pick
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
37%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
52%
-13.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC The Market 56%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.97/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+53% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
12.1 Crosses 17.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.60 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 4-1 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
02.04.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
19.03.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
23.10.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-3 HT 1-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
3-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.92 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
259 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai edged past Thai Port FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Sukhothai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sukhothai had 41% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 59%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sukhothai and 2.50 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Thai Port FC?

Sukhothai 3-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 34%, draw 27%, Thai Port FC 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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