Mekelle Kenema 2-1 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
39%
2.7
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.54
Over 2.5
26%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
39%
Draw
34%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
74%
Under 2.5
61%
+13.4pp
26%
Over 2.5
39%
-13.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.6pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.12/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.59
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2025 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 0-1 HT 0-1 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
19.01.2025 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema nicked a narrow win over Mebrat Hayl 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 39% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mekelle Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mekelle Kenema and 0.50 for Mebrat Hayl.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Mekelle Kenema 2-1 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 31%, draw 39%, Mebrat Hayl 30%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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