Maritimo U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo U23
1-1
AWAY União de Leiria U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maritimo U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo U23 and União de Leiria U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Maritimo U23 had 54% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 46%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Maritimo U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Maritimo U23 1-1 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maritimo U23 43%, draw 28%, União de Leiria U23 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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