Estrela U23 4-0 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.06/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.69
-33% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 6-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
06.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 HT 0-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
4-0
AWAY Vizela U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 cruised past Vizela U23 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Estrela U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 37% of the ball to Vizela U23's 63%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vizela U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Estrela U23 and 3.00 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23?

Estrela U23 4-0 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 33%, draw 33%, Vizela U23 34%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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