Gil Vicente U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Jan 2026

📅20/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.83/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.48
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
01.10.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
18.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
02.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 beat Rio Ave U23 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 48% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 52%, shots finished 20-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.00 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 48%, draw 23%, Rio Ave U23 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
20 Jan 2026
14:00 Maritimo U23 vs União de Leiria U23 Analysis →
18:00 Academico Viseu U23 vs Benfica U23 Analysis →
18:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Torreense U23 Analysis →
18:00 Estrela U23 vs Vizela U23 Analysis →