Walsall 3-0 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Feb 2024

Walsall
3-0 HT 2-0
Morecambe
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Walsall vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.5
X/2
13%
7.41
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.46
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Walsall v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.58
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.1 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Walsall vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Morecambe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.07
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
295 Passes 181
67% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.05.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
19.01.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 1-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
28.01.2020 Walsall Walsall 0-2 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
17.09.2019 Morecambe Morecambe 0-1 HT 0-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.09.2015 Morecambe Morecambe 2-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İNTK

Walsall 3-0 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
3-0
AWAY Morecambe
2.50 xG 0.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 8
189 Passes 377
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall ran out comfortable winners over Morecambe 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Walsall had 38% of the ball to Morecambe's 62%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.50 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walsall and 1.50 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Morecambe?

Walsall 3-0 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 25%, Morecambe 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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