Ipswich Town 4-3 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Feb 2024

Ipswich Town
4-3 HT 3-1
Rotherham United
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Ipswich Town vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.47
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.45
X/1
20%
3.34
X/2
6%
21.45
X/X
9%
7.57
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
5%
17.75
2/X
6%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.23/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.03
+27% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
475 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.6 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ipswich Town vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.56 xG 1.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
321 Passes 161
71% Pass Accuracy 58%
16 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-2 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
07.01.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United FAK
16.04.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
23.11.2021 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
28.01.2020 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İN1
23.10.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1

Ipswich Town 4-3 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
4-3
AWAY Rotherham United
1.77 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
251 Passes 279
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town squeezed past Rotherham United 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 47% of the ball to Rotherham United's 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.77 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Rotherham United?

Ipswich Town 4-3 Rotherham United in the England - Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 64%, draw 21%, Rotherham United 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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