Plymouth Argyle 0-3 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.72
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.59
X/2
12%
4.78
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
23%
3.0
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.44/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.20
+104% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.6 Crosses 19.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0W-1D-5L
AWAY West Bromwich
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.35 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
335 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 27
7 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
06.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.09.2009 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-1 HT 2-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
01.03.2008 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
28.11.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
31.01.2007 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-3
AWAY West Bromwich
0.11 xG 2.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
299 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich cruised past Plymouth Argyle 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Bromwich as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 44% of the ball to West Bromwich's 56%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.11 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Bromwich led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.83 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich?

Plymouth Argyle 0-3 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 34%, draw 25%, West Bromwich 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Bromwich), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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