Southampton 1-2 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 20 Feb 2024

Southampton
1-2 HT 0-2
Hull City
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Southampton vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.7 — our 28% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
20%
3.86
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
12%
6.45
2/1
10%
20.55
2/2
9%
8.49
2/X
7%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
2.06/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
+62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.7 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Southampton vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hull City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.43 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
452 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNCL
29.04.2017 Southampton Southampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNP
06.11.2016 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
11.04.2015 Southampton Southampton 2-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNP
01.11.2014 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
11.02.2014 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP

Southampton 1-2 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
1-2
AWAY Hull City
1.57 xG 1.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
580 Passes 403
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
48 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City edged past Southampton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Southampton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Southampton had 58% of the ball to Hull City's 42%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.57 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southampton and 0.50 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Hull City?

Southampton 1-2 Hull City in the England - Championship on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Southampton 52%, draw 26%, Hull City 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southampton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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