ASA 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASA EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.03/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.00
-96% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASA
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
09.10.2013 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 5-1 HT 3-0 ASA ASA BR2
21.07.2013 ASA ASA 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASA
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ASA vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASA and Atletico Goianiense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, ASA had 46% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 54%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ASA and 3.00 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of ASA vs Atletico Goianiense?

ASA 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASA vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ASA 24%, draw 28%, Atletico Goianiense 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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