Capital 0-0 Portuguesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Capital
0-0
AWAY Portuguesa
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Capital vs Portuguesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Capital and Portuguesa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Capital at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Capital had 68% of the ball to Portuguesa's 32%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Capital vs Portuguesa?

Capital 0-0 Portuguesa in the Brazil - Cup on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs Portuguesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Capital win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Capital 46%, draw 27%, Portuguesa 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Capital) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Capital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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