Antigua GFC 1-3 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
Crosses 8.6
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
1-3
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.61 xG 0.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
222 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders saw off Antigua GFC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 42% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 58%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Seattle Sounders?

Antigua GFC 1-3 Seattle Sounders in the CONCACAF Champions League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 25%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ BTTS Yes
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