Sporting Kansas City 0-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 20 Feb 2025

📅20/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 50%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.46/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.89
+123% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
236 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
14.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.03 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
392 Passes 480
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
10.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0-1
AWAY Inter Miami
0.39 xG 0.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
384 Passes 591
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami nicked a narrow win over Sporting Kansas City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 41% of the ball to Inter Miami's 59%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 3.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami?

Sporting Kansas City 0-1 Inter Miami in the CONCACAF Champions League on 20/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 23%, Inter Miami 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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