Estudiantes vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Estudiantes v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
Estudiantes vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Estudiantes 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over CA Sarmiento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came home.
Under the surface, CA Sarmiento saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Estudiantes against 1.33 for CA Sarmiento.
Estudiantes vs CA Sarmiento Result & Final Score
Estudiantes 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Estudiantes vs CA Sarmiento Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 60%, draw 25%, CA Sarmiento 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.