Dandenong City 2-4 Melbourne City II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City II EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City II beat Dandenong City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dandenong City at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?

Dandenong City 2-4 Melbourne City II in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Melbourne City II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 56%, draw 23%, Melbourne City II 21%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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