Manly United 2-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.13/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.46
-17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 21.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
363 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
18.04.2025 Manly United Manly United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.06.2024 Manly United Manly United 1-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
22.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 4-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
28.05.2022 Manly United Manly United 4-1 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United and APIA Leichhardt Tigers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manly United and 1.17 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Manly United 2-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Manly United 23%, draw 21%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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