APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.6pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.9pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.56
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Manly United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.94 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
250 Passes 359
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Manly United Manly United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.06.2024 Manly United Manly United 1-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
22.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 4-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.04.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
28.05.2022 Manly United Manly United 4-1 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
11.03.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over Manly United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.83 for Manly United.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Manly United?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 73%, draw 15%, Manly United 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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