Rodez 1-0 Montpellier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Feb 2026

Rodez
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Montpellier
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.58
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.85
Over
47%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.1
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
5%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.06
1/2
2%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.93
X/2
14%
5.4
X/X
18%
4.5
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
21%
3.51
2/X
5%
12.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rodez The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 2.81
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
150 Passes 511
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 2-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
18.07.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 0-2 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez HAZ
REVIEW Rodez vs Montpellier
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rodez found just enough to beat Montpellier 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

From a near-even 34% / 29% / 37% read, it was Rodez who turned the coin-flip their way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Rodez against 1.00 for Montpellier.

Rodez vs Montpellier Result & Final Score

Rodez 1 - 0 Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rodez vs Montpellier Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rodez 34%, draw 29%, Montpellier 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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