Dunkerque 1-1 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Feb 2026

Dunkerque
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Bastia
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Dunkerque vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.55
Over
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.26
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
15%
4.98
6+
3%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.03
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.55
X/2
10%
6.93
X/X
21%
3.69
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
14%
5.78
2/X
5%
14.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Dunkerque v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Dunkerque The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2

Dunkerque vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bastia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2025 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
28.03.2025 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
24.09.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
06.04.2024 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.12.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-5 HT 0-2 Bastia Bastia FR2
15.03.2022 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2

Dunkerque 1-1 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
1 - 1
AWAY Bastia
0.52 xG 1.76
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
514 Passes 191
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Dunkerque vs Bastia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Dunkerque and Bastia with a point apiece.

A gentle 43% lean on Dunkerque didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 68% to 32% in Dunkerque's favour, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.76.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Dunkerque against 1.67 for Bastia.

Dunkerque vs Bastia Result & Final Score

Dunkerque 1 - 1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dunkerque vs Bastia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 43%, draw 31%, Bastia 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dunkerque), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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