Bastia 0-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
10%
6.1
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
13%
4.58
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.47/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.31
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.5 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
247 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
24.09.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
06.04.2024 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
05.12.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-5 HT 0-2 Bastia Bastia FR2
15.03.2022 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.10.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
0-0
AWAY Dunkerque
0.37 xG 0.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 233
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia and Dunkerque played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bastia had 59% of the ball to Dunkerque's 41%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.37 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bastia and 0.83 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Dunkerque?

Bastia 0-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bastia 43%, draw 27%, Dunkerque 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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