Amiens SC 0-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 33% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.1
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
14%
5.65
X/2
17%
5.49
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
8%
3.93
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.90
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boulogne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
12.07.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 1-2 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC HAZ
28.08.2015 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
28.01.2012 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
26.08.2011 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
29.05.2009 Boulogne Boulogne 4-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
01.08.2008 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
0-1
AWAY Boulogne
0.16 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne edged past Amiens SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Boulogne made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Amiens SC had 49% of the ball to Boulogne's 51%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.16 to 1.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boulogne's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Amiens SC and 1.00 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Boulogne?

Amiens SC 0-1 Boulogne in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 38%, draw 26%, Boulogne 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amiens SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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