Le Mans FC vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Mans FC v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Le Mans FC vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Le Mans FC
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Le Mans FC
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Le Mans FC
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Troyes
FR1
Le Mans FC 2-2 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Le Mans FC and Troyes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Le Mans FC had 55% of the ball to Troyes's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.83 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Troyes?
Le Mans FC 2-2 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 29%, draw 27%, Troyes 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.