20/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Bokelj Kotor vs Berane Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
32%
28%
Draw
31%
38%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bokelj Kotor v Berane — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bokelj Kotor
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Berane
The Market 40%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+2%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+50%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
326 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
227 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bokelj Kotor vs Berane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bokelj Kotor beat Berane 3-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Bokelj Kotor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bokelj Kotor vs Berane?
Bokelj Kotor 3-1 Berane in the Montenegro - 2nd Division on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bokelj Kotor vs Berane?
Before kick-off our model rated an Berane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bokelj Kotor 33%, draw 28%, Berane 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Berane)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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