Kom 0-3 Otrant — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Montenegro - 2nd Division, 20 Mar 2024

Kom
0-3 HT 0-2
Otrant
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
30%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kom The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Otrant The Market 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Otrant
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Corners 5
13.09.2023 Kom Kom 0-1 HT 0-0 Otrant KARA2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kom
0-3
AWAY Otrant
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kom vs Otrant
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Otrant cruised past Kom 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Otrant as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kom had 43% of the ball to Otrant's 57%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Kom vs Otrant?

Kom 0-3 Otrant in the Montenegro - 2nd Division on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kom vs Otrant?

Before kick-off our model rated an Otrant win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kom 34%, draw 24%, Otrant 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Otrant), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Otrant) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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