Lovcen Cetinje 1-1 Internacional Podgorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Montenegro - 2nd Division, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lovcen Cetinje win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lovcen Cetinje The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional Podgorica The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -67%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lovcen Cetinje vs Internacional Podgorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lovcen Cetinje and Internacional Podgorica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lovcen Cetinje at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Lovcen Cetinje vs Internacional Podgorica?

Lovcen Cetinje 1-1 Internacional Podgorica in the Montenegro - 2nd Division on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lovcen Cetinje vs Internacional Podgorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lovcen Cetinje win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lovcen Cetinje 58%, draw 21%, Internacional Podgorica 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lovcen Cetinje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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