Aurora 0-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.99/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.19
-24% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2026 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora GUAT
29.09.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-2 HT 3-0 Aurora Aurora GUAT
20.07.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
0-1
AWAY Guastatoya
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya nicked a narrow win over Aurora 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 50% of the ball to Guastatoya's 50%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aurora and 1.67 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Guastatoya?

Aurora 0-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aurora 44%, draw 26%, Guastatoya 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
20 Mar 2026
03:00 CSD Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC Analysis →
05:00 Xelaju MC vs Municipal Analysis →